Pakistan projected to be 6th largest economy by 2075: Goldman Sachs
Breaking: Pakistan is projected to be the sixth largest economy in the world by 2075, a Goldman Sachs paper covering 104 countries has said.
Titled ‘The Path to 2075' by economists Kevin Daly and Tadas Gedminas, the paper projected that Pakistan's population growth could place it among the largest economies, provided it is able to deal with risks of 'environmental catastrophe' and 'populist nationalism.'
According to Goldman Sachs, the largest five economies by 2075 will be:
According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs Group economists have taken a stab at predicting the path of the world economy through 2075.
Two decades since they famously outlined long-term growth projections for the so-called BRIC economies, the economists now led by Jan Hatzius expanded their projections to encompass 104 countries over the next half-century.
- Global growth will average just under 3% a year over the next decade, down from 3.6% in the decade before the financial crisis, and will be on a gradually declining path afterwards, reflecting a slowing of labor force growth.
- Emerging markets will continue to converge with industrial nations as China, the US, India, Indonesia and Germany top the league table of largest economies when measured in dollars. Nigeria, Pakistan and Egypt could also be among the biggest.
August 2023 update:
In the interim, we are back in the list of top global economies. Goldman Sachs puts Pakistan as a $3.3 trillion economy in 2050, according to a VisualCapitalist infographic, below. Hope we do not mess up in the years 2024-onwards as we did back in 2017.
Wali Zahid is a longtime China watcher and a Pakistan futurist. An award-winning journalist, he writes on issues of significance to Pakistan and CPEC & BRI.