A miracle: Pakistan score in Long Term Orientation goes from Zero to 50

Pakistani culture 6D model

A miracle has happened – at least academically speaking.

For over 20 years, I have been teaching leadership to MBA students in Pakistan’s premier business schools in Islamabad (IIUI), Lahore (UMT) and Karachi (IBA, CBM, Zabist).

To teach the cultural aspect of leadership, I have been using a cultural tool developed by Geert-Hofstede, a Dutch social psychologist and the founder of comparative intercultural research.

Through various stages of development, the tool is now called 6-D Model. D for dimension.

One of the six dimensions is called Long Term Orientation (LTO).

The miracle is that while all these years, Pakistan’s score in LTO had been Zero (yes, 0), this year, it is now showing a score of 50.

It may not mean anything to you. But to me, it’s a miracle.

My alumni would remember that all these years I moaned about Pakistan’s lack of LTO (read this) and kept on contrasting it with China, India, US or even Bangladesh, hoping one day it will change. And finally, it has changed now.

The good thing is that I predicted this in my piece for The News on 14 August 2014. See: Wali on Pakistan of future. My wordings:

‘The second thing that will change in the Pakistan of future is that we will start talking about our current issues without unnecessary windows to the past. And more importantly, we will start planning for the future – both short and long term. Our TV talk shows will highlight the challenges we will face in 2025, 2040 or even 2050.’

The Geert-Hofstede 6-D Model is in real time and an interactive tool. Try it here.

This article has appeared in the Management Accountant, a journal of ICMA Pakistan, in its July-August 2015 issue. Link here.

Another independent data supported this. UK’s The Guardian newspaper in early 2013 published a ranking of top 45 world economies, titled Future Orientation Index (read this). Germany topped the list, and Pakistan came last.

So, what has happened in the past couple of years that the Pakistan score changed from legendary Zero to a reasonably 50?

I tend to think Nawaz Sharif happened.

[Nearly all of the corporate executives and CEOs I have taught, trained or coached over decades are Sharif-hating and PTI-loving creature. But instead of trashing Sharif and leaving the post, keep reading it.]

With Sharif, came Pakistan Vision 2025 (I was part of the first V2025 planning meeting Minister Ahsan Iqbal convened at the Planning Commission Islamabad in August 2013).

See also: Wali on The Pakistan 2050 Opportunity

In our neighbourhood, China, for the first time crossed USA in GDP (PPP) as the world’s largest economy.

China leads GDP PPP 2014

Pakistan: The brighter side:

Harvard predicts Pakistan GDP to grow by 5% over next 10 years

Forbes calls Pakistan the next Colombia success story, asks US to see beyond security lens

China-Pakistan Economic Corridor projects pick up pace

$46B China-Pakistan Economic Corridor: 15 years, 3 routes, 51 projects

$7.6B 1,800km TAPI gas pipeline to be operational in 2018

Bloomberg on Pakistan’s economic revival, construction boom

Naya Pakistan: Travel from Pindi to Islamabad in 20¢ in wifi-ed AC bus

Rs 154B Orange Line Metro Train for Lahore

Green Line train from Islamabad to Karachi with free wifi

Pakistan is enjoying a rare period of optimism: The Economist

Pakistan is less corrupt than last year. This is good news. What’s the bad news?

For its currently expensive and long 13,000km Beijing to Persian Gulf sea route, China found a shorter route replacement: A 2,000km Kashgar-Gwadar CPEC (China-Pakistan Economic Corridor).

China sealed this opportunity with $46 billion investment in Pakistan in President Xi Jinping’s Pakistan visit in April 2015.

CPEC is a 15-year initiative to be completed in four phases and through 51 projects.

Now, this is future. This is Long Term!

China Beijing to Persian Gulf sea route vs Kashgar-Gwadar CPEC

With CPEC came SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation). Led by China and Russia, Pakistan gained full-time membership in SCO. SCO is likely to change the destiny of the countries in the region.

And Xi is no ordinary Chinese leader. See our report on China’s leader: Xi Jinping: most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Zedong

With CPEC and SCO came China-led AIIB (Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank) that is likely to challenge The World Bank.

With 1.2 percent stake in AIIB, Pakistan became the founding member and the 17th largest shareholder. AIIB is going to change the rules of game in the world.

With this came Iran’s nuclear deal with the world powers, reshaping the ties between Iran and the West. Which means revival of Rs 1 trillion 2,775km Iran-Pakistan Gas Pipeline (IP Gas) and LNG smart gas projects. See this: Expect massive Pakistan-Iran trade following N deal

Now, this is future. This is Long Term!

See some other indices on Pakistan:

Pakistani nationality ranks second least valuable in the world

Everything about Pakistan’s competitiveness – in 10 photos

Pakistan 15th most powerful military in the world

In World Bank’s 2016 Doing Business Report, Pakistan ranks 138

Pakistan at rock bottom in Human Capital Index 2015

Pakistan world’s 14th most fragile country

Pakistan ranks 5th in terrorism-affected countries list

Karachi 6th least liveable city in the world

Peshawar is the world’s second most polluted city

As S Asia ups economic game, Pakistan risks falling behind: WSJ. The question is why?

Pakistan #106 in Good Country Index

How Pakistani culture compares with China

To be the neighbour of the superpower that is going to change the world isn’t bad, after all. How our scores compare with China on 6-D Model, above.

PS: There is still a worrying score: Zero on Indulgence. Shall we hope that it too will change over the coming 5-10 years?

Also: When Chinese Leadership style meets Pakistani: Wali’s Talk PPt for China Mobile/Zong strategy team

OPTIMISM: As an aside, in a 2015 PEW survey, over half of Pakistanis are now optimistic about their next generation that they will be better off than them. Good news, isn’t it?

Pakistanis optimistic about next generation

Wali Zahid is a futurist, disruptor, blogger, social media strategist, reformer, LinkedIn writer, author of iBook, Great Training in 10 Steps. He runs a #Pakistan2050 hashtag on Twitter. On walizahid.com, he’s writing a series called How We Messed Up Pakistan. As CEO of SkillCity, he coaches several Fortune-500 CEOs on leadership. He’s founder of a global movement for humanizing medical education and practice. He can be reached at Twitter @walizahid.

Do not miss our Understanding Pakistan Series

Wali on The Pakistan 2050 Opportunity

Wali on Pakistan of future

A miracle: Pakistan score in Long Term Orientation goes from Zero to 50

Pakistani culture through 6-D Model

Native languages in Pakistan

How future oriented are we?

How we messed up Pakistan: A series by Wali

Pakistan’s two value crimes no one talks about

What Pakistan needs is not education but a Project Ignorance


  1. Things are going well.
    I agree.
    We are winning the battle but the war has just started .
    I see a major conflict coming up in this region. The government should take precautionary measurements n to safe guard assets. Both human and nuclear .
    Let’s see who click it first as university chancellor has part of the code too.

  2. Mere words can’t make the miracle happen. The premise: Talk of future without any reference to past. Yes it is ideal for every political regime as it translates into: Make tall promises for a bright future for prolonging your hold to power since nobody is going to be held accountable for the fallacious propoganda!!!!

  3. Pingback: Wali Zahid

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